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Post by AWAR on Feb 8, 2004 21:32:37 GMT -5
Please comment on what you think will happen in the next ten years in the world of politics, science and quality of individual life.
Do you think that the world politics will take a stronger steer to the left or to the right? Do you predict some country to fall apart? What are your predictions for the USA and it's role in the world, what about your own country.
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Post by geirr on Feb 14, 2004 9:19:37 GMT -5
Economically I don't think much will change in Europe in the next ten years, continued agricultural subsidies and protectionist practices as usual. The USA on the other hand will have to balance a budget that is getting out of hand. The 'war on terror' line will start to run thin when people start losing their jobs, consumer spending nosedives and the international creditors are knocking on the door. In the short term the USA will take a turn to the left, George W Bush wil be voted out of office and Sen. John Kerry moving into the white house. The government will take a more centralist approach and restore relations with the U.N. and E.U. The US military will soon leave Iraq which will quickly result in a civil war between the different parties there, ultimately resulting in a more unstable middle east. the palestine/israel conflict will continue unabated.
China will continue to grow in an exponential rate economically becoming one of the strongest economies, possibly within twenty to thirty years rivaling the USA. Some countries that will be poorer in the next ten years? Germany(not by much), Hungary, Albania, South Africa(much poorer), Saudi Arabia, Brazil, Pakistan and India. Richer countries? Ireland, Portugal, Spain, Greece, China (will boom) and Malaysia will continue to grow.
Scientific achievements won't be great, by 2014 computers obviously will be cheaper, faster and more powerful but Windows will still have bugs. There will be more probes to Mars ...yawn.. There will continue to be clones of different animals but a human clone won't happen in the next ten years despite what the Raelians say. I generally believe that the environment and general way of life in western countries will be better.
Australia will have a change of government this year to the (centre left) labour party. I think the paranoia that exists in this country about terrorists will eventually dissapate and be replaced with a genuine concern for the security of the country rather than political opportunism over foreigners and ilegals. Our sycophantic servant relationship with the USA will end.
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Post by HINDI on Feb 21, 2004 1:38:57 GMT -5
India's economy is growing 10 percent a year and rising.It's booming! And it's predicted to be a developed countryy in 30 years which is not unrealistic at all.
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Post by geirr on Feb 21, 2004 2:41:56 GMT -5
India's economy is growing 10 percent a year and rising.It's booming! And it's predicted to be a developed countryy in 30 years which is not unrealistic at all. Economic growth means little if fundamental problems like poor literacy, Ill health and social conflict are not addressed. If India is a developed country within thirty years then in 2034 I will be downing a pilsner on the planet Pluto.
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Post by Tbilisi on Feb 21, 2004 2:52:08 GMT -5
Sweden is going to get so poor and is going to be kicked out of the EU when the goverment finaly reveale that we are Communists Russia will probobly rise again, if we're unlucky they restore the USSR and attack their neighboring countries. If not, Russia will become very nationalistic. This is probobly very unrealistic, but if the Soviet Union rises, perhaps they in their nationalism is going to try to get what they never got - Finland, and so start WWIII. EU will strike back. /"Tbilisi"
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Post by Tecumseh on Mar 5, 2004 16:43:54 GMT -5
I'm not sure, but I know that Mexicans will become the majority in the U.S.
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Post by Indefens on Mar 19, 2004 13:10:25 GMT -5
Mexicans will not become the majority in the U.S. At the rate of present immigration, it won't be until 2050 that all minority groups (hispanics, blacks, Asians) equal European-Americans in numbers. Even then, whites will still probably retain a slim majority, as a substantial number of Hispanics are primarily white.
My own prediction? Another terrorist attack or two on American soil will be enough to get people talking about how crappy our border control is. The tide of illegal immigration will be stemmed. Russia will continue to fade and may end up ceding eastern portions of its territory to a resurgent China. Europeans will make more half-assed attempts to raise their birth rate, doing everything imaginable under the sun except actually making babies. Europe's muslim population will continue to grow and to assert itself politically. Africa will stay a mess. Latin American will continue to plod along, though there is some real potential there...
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Post by alex221166 on Mar 21, 2004 23:41:28 GMT -5
Europe's muslim population will continue to grow and to assert itself politically. I don't think so. The center-left and center-right parties have realised that they too must pay attention to the immigration issues or they risk losing votes to the far-right. I also don't think that the Muslims will continue to increase their numbers significantly. France is already trying to "convert" them to secularism, and Germany, Britain and Holland will soon follow. Besides, the Europeans aren't really "that" tolerant (particularly southern Europeans) when it comes to religion and when they see their liberties threatened. Europe is like a grumpy old man watching TV on his couch that doesn't want to be distracted. Tolerates a certain amount of crap to avoid having to do anything, but when things go beyond a certain level, he gets his shotgun and kicks ass. Let me just say that I would rather walk through a caravan of Gypsies, than be a North African Muslim presently living in southern Spain (if you know what I mean).
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Post by Indefens on Mar 27, 2004 0:27:00 GMT -5
I don't know, Alex. The Muslim birth rate is so high, and the native European birth rate is so low, I believe that Muslims will continue to grow in relative number throughout Europe. One projection I saw had muslims under 18 outnumbering non-Muslims under 18 in another 25 years, though that was before the Netherlands cracked down on immigration, so that may have changed. Also, I don't think Europeans will be too successful converting Muslims to their brand of secularism. Not everyone is so eager to give up on religion as the Europeans have proven themselves to be.
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Post by Graeme on Mar 27, 2004 10:11:42 GMT -5
Christianity is an older religion than islam despite what moslems say about Abraham etc. Older religions tend to slacken off in devotion.
I think Europe will become more right wing about immigrants from outside Europe. Penalties will be tougher for illegals, citizenship requirements stricter eg European born ancestors before 1950. Foreigners will be restricted in where they can live, what work they can do etc. Something like what happens in China today. There will be more anti foreign attacks. Turks will probably be forced to leave Germany. Opportunities will open up for white immigrants.
Technology will phase out more low skilled jobs and unpleasant jobs will be totally mechanised. Asian countries will become more dependent on the US and European economies, still supplying more labour intensive manufactured goods. China will not be able to contain its population which will spill over into Mongolia and Asiatic Russia in the north and towards Iran and India in the southwest. Australia will be forced to face the hostility of its asian neighbours and having to survive somehow by allowing unrestricted access to them and alienating the country from its European origin.
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Post by geirr on Mar 28, 2004 1:09:25 GMT -5
China will not be able to contain its population which will spill over into Mongolia and Asiatic Russia in the north and towards Iran and India in the southwest. Australia will be forced to face the hostility of its asian neighbours and having to survive somehow by allowing unrestricted access to them and alienating the country from its European origin. China got a handle on it's population long ago, it's arguably the most controlled population in the world.
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Post by ramsharma on Mar 28, 2004 9:58:50 GMT -5
Remember that it took South Korea only a decade to move from an underdeveloped nation to an economically strong one. Although India is a gargantuan nation in comparison to Korea, I don't see why India can't do just the same. It's not plausible that India will take regressive steps backwards. Bangalore, for instance has gained much due to 90's technology boom. India is a software powerhouse, and I predict the trend will not show much change in that regard in the future.
China, on the other hand, will in 50 years be an economic as well as military powerhouse. It is in fact predicted that China and India will take over America in terms of GDP in only 20 years.
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Post by TutanKa on Apr 7, 2004 13:43:41 GMT -5
I hate to be all doom and gloom, but the way current world wide events are panning out at present I think we'll all be caught up in WW3 by 2007. A hunch maybe.
Politics...I believe the relationship between Europe and the USA will pull further apart. A lot of racial or perhaps religious tension, caused of course by terrorism and mistrust between different cultural groups, esp within Europe. Science is coming into a new age, where things we think are impossible or undoable now will be accomplished. Perhaps we will actually see solid and successful evidence on human cloning.
If I'm right about the WW3 thing, then the quality of individual life, largely compounded by where in the world a person is, won't be fantastic. The implications of a war is huge, don't need to say so really.
The world has just changed...it's been in a constant flux, but has morphed faster at certain parts, particularly at present. The world to me on a personal level just feels different.
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Post by geirr on Apr 8, 2004 8:09:08 GMT -5
The world has just changed...it's been in a constant flux, but has morphed faster at certain parts, particularly at present. The world to me on a personal level just feels different. Yes, I know what you mean.
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Post by berschneider on Apr 9, 2004 11:04:36 GMT -5
Sweden is going to get so poor and is going to be kicked out of the EU Russia will probobly rise again, if we're unlucky they restore the USSR and attack their neighboring countries. If not, Russia will become very nationalistic. /"Tbilisi" Judging by your prophesies you must be a genius.
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